Finding Dividend Gems in the "New Normal" Consumer Landscape
Signs of Stabilization Emerge
After worrisome signs of consumer pullback, recent data signals we may be transitioning to a "new normal" spending environment. July retail sales rebounded 1%, and Walmart delivered an optimistic outlook, with the CFO noting "consistency with the consumer."
A "Balanced" Spending Backdrop
Mastercard's chief economist sees a period of more "balanced" consumer trends across sectors without pandemic-level volatility. However, disparities between income levels remain, per company earnings calls.
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Opportunities for Discerning Dividend Investors
While the macro backdrop stabilizes, BMO cautions we'll see company-level divergences based on execution: "There are companies still winning, still seeing expanding revenues."
The Path for Dividend Investors
For dividend investors, this "new normal" allows separating the winners capturing wallet share. Tune out the noise and focus on individual results and outlooks, using steady/rising payouts as a signpost. The most resilient dividend payers could emerge as compelling long-term income holdings.